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Solar Calculator Nigeria 2026

Estimate payback where Band A tariffs and generator fuel - not export credits - drive the savings.

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4.3 kWhper kW of panels per day in Nigeria (average of 3 cities)
4,686 kWha year from a 3 kW system
Feb 5.0 · Jul 3.4best and weakest month, kWh per kW per day
10° facing the equatorpanel angle used in Abuja (near the equator a low tilt sheds rain and dust)

1 Your electricity

₦
₦/kWh

Representative 2026 residential figure — with no export credit, size the system to what you can use on-site.

2 Exports & self-use

There is no practical export payment in this market — solar saves by replacing what you would have bought (and often generator fuel).

%

Share of your solar used on-site (saves the full rate). A battery raises this toward 70–80%.

3 System & cost

₦/W
kWh/kW/day
%

Only enter incentives that genuinely reduce what you pay up front. Tax deductions spread over years are better judged separately — see the guide below.

Payback period
— years
— kW system
Net system cost—
Self-use savings/yr—
Export credit/yr—
Total savings/yr—
25-year savings—
Nigeria—

Indicative estimates only. Tariffs, export rules and incentives change by regulation and vary by utility — the defaults are dated references. Confirm current rules with nerc.gov.ng and get local quotes before deciding.

Cumulative savings over 25 years
Starts at your upfront cost and rises as the system saves money. It includes the yearly price rises and panel ageing used in the 25-year total, so break-even can come earlier than the simple payback above.
How this is calculated
System size = annual usage (bill ÷ rate × 12) ÷ (daily generation × 365). Savings = self-consumed solar × your retail rate + exported solar × the export credit. Net cost = size × cost/W − any upfront incentive. Payback = net cost ÷ annual savings; the 25-year figure applies ~3%/yr tariff escalation and 0.5%/yr panel degradation. Defaults are researched 2026 figures for Nigeria — every field is editable.

Solar in Nigeria Is Really a Generator Question

Nigerian grid tariffs jumped after the April 2024 review: Band A customers (promised 20+ hours of supply a day) now pay roughly N206-N233 per kWh depending on their DisCo, while Bands B through E pay less but get fewer hours. Rates move with NERC's periodic reviews and the naira, so treat any figure here as a starting point and verify your current band and rate on your bill or with NERC. But the realistic benchmark for most households is not the grid at all - it is the petrol or diesel generator that runs when the grid is down. Fuel, oil and servicing typically push self-generation well above N350 per kWh, which is why our generator vs solar comparison is usually the right first stop.

No Practical Net Metering - Design for Self-Consumption

Unlike Kenya or Bangladesh, Nigeria has no working residential export scheme: DisCos do not credit rooftop exports in practice, so every kWh you generate only has value if you use it or store it. That changes system design in three ways:

A Worked Lagos-Area Example

A 5 kW array with a hybrid inverter (before batteries) costs roughly N3.5m at about N700 per watt installed - tier-1 panels alone are only N250-N300 per watt, but the inverter, cabling, mounting and labour roughly double it. At about 4.3 kWh per kW per day it yields near 7,800 kWh a year. If 85% is self-consumed against a Band A rate of N210, that is about N1.4m a year avoided - a simple payback around three years, and faster still for every kWh that would otherwise come from petrol. A 10 kWh lithium bank adds roughly N2m-N3m and stretches payback, but buys silence and uptime; test that trade-off in the battery payback calculator.

Caveats

Naira depreciation moves hardware prices quickly; Band B-E customers see slower grid-offset paybacks; and cheap unbranded batteries can wipe out the savings when they fail early. Run your own quotes through the savings calculator, and confirm current tariffs with NERC before committing.

Solar generation in Nigeria, month by month

From PVGIS 5.3 (European Commission Joint Research Centre), SARAH3 solar data 2005-2023: a 1 kW grid-tied system at the best fixed angle with 14% system losses. Figures are the average of Abuja, Lagos, Kano. The calculator above uses 4.3 kWh per kW per day as its default.

MonthkWh per kW per day3 kW system, kWh in the month
January4.9457
February5.0420
March4.7439
April4.5407
May4.0373
June3.6320
July3.4315
August3.4317
September3.8341
October4.4406
November4.8434
December4.9457

Solar output by city

CitykWh/kW/daykWh/kW/year3 kW, kWh/yearBest tilt
Kano4.81,7485,24516°
Abuja4.21,5314,59310°
Lagos3.91,4064,21910°

What each system size produces in Nigeria

SystemkWh per daykWh per monthkWh per year
1 kW4.31301,562
2 kW8.62603,124
3 kW12.83904,686
5 kW21.46517,809
10 kW42.81,30215,618

Solar calculators for other countries

Localized subsidy and tariff math for more markets:

Frequently asked questions

Can I sell excess solar power to the grid in Nigeria?

Not in practice. Nigeria has no functioning residential net-metering scheme, and DisCos do not credit rooftop exports. Any surplus you send out is effectively donated, so systems are designed around self-consumption and battery storage; NERC regulation in this area covers larger embedded generators rather than homes.

Is a battery essential for solar in Nigeria?

For most households, yes. With frequent outages and no export credit, a battery converts midday surplus into evening use and replaces generator run-time. A panels-plus-inverter system without storage only helps while the sun is up, and a pure grid-tie inverter shuts down during blackouts.

How does solar compare with running a generator?

Petrol or diesel self-generation typically costs well above N350 per kWh once fuel, oil and servicing are counted - far more than Band A grid power at roughly N206-N233. Solar plus battery usually undercuts both, with the fastest payback coming from the generator hours it eliminates.

Does my tariff band change the payback?

Significantly. Band A customers paying around N210 per kWh see the quickest grid-offset payback, often under three years. Band C-E customers pay less per kWh but endure longer outages, so more of their savings come from avoided generator fuel instead. Check your band on your bill and verify current rates with NERC.

How much electricity does a 3 kW solar system generate in Nigeria?

About 13 kWh a day or 4,686 kWh a year on average, from about 10.1 a day in July to 14.9 a day in February, according to PVGIS data for panels at the best fixed angle. Shading, dust and orientation change the result.

Learn more

Sources & standards

The tariff bands, generator-cost comparison and equipment guidance behind this calculator draw on Nigeria's electricity regulator, its rural-electrification agency and the international standards installers should specify panels against.